Brisbane Lions v Sydney Swans

Inizio: 2026-06-25 09:30 UTC

Finale: Brisbane Lions 126–83 Sydney Swans

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

52%

48%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Brisbane Lions (Casa)

Previsione 51.70%1.93quota equa

EV -4.36%

Vantaggio -2.36%

Kelly -5.13%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

50.00%51.64%51.60%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.681.811.811.8559.52%55.21%55.25%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sydney Swans (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.30%2.07quota equa

EV -2.91%

Vantaggio -1.45%

Kelly -2.88%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

47.37%48.36%48.40%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.801.951.962.0155.56%51.29%51.02%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Coolbet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-25 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-25 05:40
Coral	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-25 05:40
Pinnacle	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.88%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-25 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.36%E -2.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-25 06:30
Neds	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.36%E -2.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-25 06:30
Bet Right	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.84%E -2.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-25 09:10
Casumo	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-25 09:10
TABtouch	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-25 09:10
Unibet (NL)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-25 09:10
Grosvenor	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.32%E -2.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-25 09:10
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.40%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-25 07:49
Dabble (AU)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-25 09:00
PlayUp	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-25 07:49
Unibet	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-25 09:10
TAB	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 08:39
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 08:50
Betr (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 09:20
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 08:50
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 09:10
Marathon Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.25%E -3.78%K -7.89%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-25 09:19
Betsson	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-25 04:49
NordicBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-25 04:50
Everygame	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.22%E -4.33%K -9.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-25 05:39
Tipico (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -13.05%E -7.25%K -16.31%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-25 05:50
Unibet (FR)	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.02%E -5.12%K -11.86%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.64%E -5.75%K -12.51%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-25 09:20
NetBet (FR)	1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.15%E -7.83%K -19.34%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.60%E -6.34%K -13.98%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-06-25 09:00

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%	0.3%	2026-06-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%	0.3%	2026-06-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%	0.3%	2026-06-25 09:20