Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs

Inizio: 2026-03-20 08:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

49%

51%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adelaide Crows (Casa)

Previsione 49.02%2.04quota equa

EV -3.43%

Vantaggio -1.74%

Kelly -3.54%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

48.56%49.22%49.01%51.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.801.911.901.9755.56%52.43%52.49%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Western Bulldogs (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.98%1.96quota equa

EV -0.590%

Vantaggio -0.302%

Kelly -0.621%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

48.65%50.78%50.99%51.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.721.871.871.9558.14%53.58%53.48%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Bet Right	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -3.43%E -1.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -5.18%E -2.78%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-20 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-18 04:20
Coolbet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-20 07:59
Neds	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-18 04:20
Betr (AU)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:35
Coral	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.41%E -2.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 00:24
TABtouch	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.88%E -3.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
Unibet (NL)	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.88%E -3.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
Casumo	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.88%E -3.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
Grosvenor	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.88%E -3.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.88%E -3.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-20 02:24
DraftKings	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.37%E -3.34%K -7.00%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 01:59
PlayUp	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.590%E -0.302%K -0.621%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-20 08:29
TAB	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:15
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
SportsBet	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:30
NordicBet	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-19 17:25
Betsson	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-19 17:24
Tipico (DE)	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.86%E -3.61%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-20 05:29
Unibet	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.35%E -3.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-20 08:29
Marathon Bet	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.35%E -3.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-20 08:28
Pinnacle	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.84%E -4.17%K -8.91%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -0.590%E -0.302%K -0.621%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-20 08:35
Dabble (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.31%E -5.03%K -10.96%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.590%E -0.302%K -0.621%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-20 08:15
Everygame	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.76%E -6.54%K -14.70%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-20 08:25
NetBet (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -11.76%E -6.54%K -14.70%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -12.32%E -7.16%K -17.10%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-20 06:30

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%	0.3%	2026-03-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%	0.5%	2026-03-20 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%	0.5%	2026-03-20 08:35