Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets v New York Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 23:37 UTC

Final: New York Jets 6–23 New York Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 45.00%2.22fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.12%44.85%46.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.20%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 55.00%1.82fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.52%54.88%55.15%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.741.7962.11%57.80%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Jets (Local): 45.00%; New York Giants (Visit): 55.00%. For New York Jets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.999%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.999%E -0.454%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 22:35
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.999%E -0.454%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.45%E -7.11%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:25
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:25
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:25
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 22:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:15
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:30
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:25
Caesars🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 23:33
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 23:30
ReBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 23:30
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 23:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 23:19
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 23:29
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.60%E -4.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -1.55%E -0.866%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 23:35
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.10%E -1.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 23:29
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.10%E -4.50%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.10%E -4.50%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 23:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-28 23:35
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.6%2026-08-28 23:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%3.5%2026-08-28 23:29
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%3.9%2026-08-28 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%4.4%2026-08-28 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%4.4%2026-08-28 23:36