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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Indianapolis Colts v Atlanta Falcons

开赛时间： 2026-08-22 17:12 UTC

最终结果： Indianapolis Colts 6–34 Atlanta Falcons

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indianapolis Colts (主队)

预测 64.05%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.74%
Kelly -5.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
62.96%64.08%63.93%65.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.491.491.5268.97%67.05%67.11%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Falcons (客队)

预测 35.95%2.78公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.409%
Kelly -0.643%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.83%35.92%36.07%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.82%37.74%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Indianapolis Colts (主队)：64.05%；Atlanta Falcons (客队)：35.95%。 对于“Atlanta Falcons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.75，期望值为-1.12%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -2.65%E -1.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.65%E -1.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.29%E -2.18%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -1.84%E -0.675%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.29%E -2.18%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -1.84%E -0.675%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 11:49
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 14:55
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 14:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 14:59
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 15:11
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:59
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 12:09
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.88%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 07:39
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:00
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 15:03
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.12%E -0.409%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 15:14
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.12%E -0.409%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:52
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.64%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 15:15
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:04
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.85%E -3.98%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.12%E -0.409%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -5.85%E -3.98%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.13%E -4.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:23
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-22 15:15
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%3.2%2026-08-22 15:05