Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings v Green Bay Packers

Inicio: 2026-09-13 20:25 UTC

Final: Minnesota Vikings 39–22 Green Bay Packers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Predicción 55.77%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.386%
Ventaja +0.214%
Kelly +0.482%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%55.66%55.84%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.721.711.8062.50%58.18%58.48%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Green Bay Packers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.23%2.26momio equitativo
EV +0.403%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.317%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.34%44.16%46.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.852.142.122.2754.05%46.80%47.17%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 55.77%; Green Bay Packers (Visitante): 44.23%. Para Green Bay Packers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.27, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.403%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.386%E +0.214%K +0.482%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.386%E +0.214%K +0.482%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.386%E +0.214%K +0.482%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.386%E +0.214%K +0.482%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.386%E +0.214%K +0.482%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.730%E -0.410%K -0.936%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.29%E -0.727%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.89%E -4.31%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.35%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 20:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.44%E -4.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 20:15
TAB🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.67%E -3.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.52%E -2.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:15
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:17
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.317%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-13 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:20
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:20
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 20:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:20
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:20
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:14
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.79%E -2.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:20
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 20:20
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.482%E -0.214%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.65%E -5.96%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.62%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.38%EV -18.17%E -9.82%K -21.38%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-09-13 20:20
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-13 20:20
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-13 12:40
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-13 20:20
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-09-13 20:20
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-09-13 20:20