La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Vikings v Green Bay Packers

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Predicción 49.64%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.727%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.727%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.76%49.74%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.911.912.0059.52%52.42%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Green Bay Packers (Visitante)

Predicción 50.36%1.99momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%50.24%50.26%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.881.882.0358.48%53.10%53.05%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -7.68%E -4.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV +2.24%E +1.10%K +2.17%G +0.049%3.0%2026-07-18 04:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.727%E +0.364%K +0.727%G +0.005%4.6%2026-07-25 18:10
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 04:39
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 18:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 04:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 04:39
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 02:24
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.79%E -0.918%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 19:30
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 04:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 13:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 10:30
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 19:10
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 07:59
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:20
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.71%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.81%E -2.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 02:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.81%E -2.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:19
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-02 17:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 09:19
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.69%E -3.00%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 18:40
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.20%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 06:55
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 18:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.71%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.727%E -0.364%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.727%E -0.364%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.727%E -0.364%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.727%E -0.364%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.727%E -0.364%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:40
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:39
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 17:38
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 17:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 02:49
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.19%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.84%E -4.88%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 19:00
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.19%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.84%E -4.88%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.44%EV -16.61%E -9.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 49.56%EV -13.88%E -8.12%K -19.55%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-22 19:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-25 10:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.86%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%8.4%2026-07-20 19:10
Arbitraje (5 combinaciones) +0.74%LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.4%) / Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)Ver las 5 combinaciones
Minnesota Vikings (Local)Green Bay Packers (Visitante)Margen
LeoVegas (SE) 2.00 (50.4%)Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)+0.744%
Unibet (NL) 2.00 (50.4%)Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)+0.744%
Unibet (SE) 2.00 (50.4%)Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)+0.744%
Svenska Spel 2.00 (50.4%)Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)+0.744%
ATG (SE) 2.00 (50.4%)Pinnacle 2.03 (49.6%)+0.744%