Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers v Carolina Panthers

2026-10-30 00:15 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Predicción 64.67%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -4.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%64.60%64.63%65.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.471.481.5174.63%67.89%67.57%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carolina Panthers (Visitante)

Predicción 35.33%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -0.594%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%35.40%35.37%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.702.8041.67%37.13%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Green Bay Packers (Local): 64.67%; Carolina Panthers (Visitante): 35.33%. Para Carolina Panthers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.07%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.35%E -1.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.72%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 05:12
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -2.48%E -0.900%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-26 05:13
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.54%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.54%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 04:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.54%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 04:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.54%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 04:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:44
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:45
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.37%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 05:12
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.00%E -2.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:12
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.13%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.13%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-26 04:25
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 04:25
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.90%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 04:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.64%E -2.45%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 04:50
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 04:44
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 05:06
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.90%E -1.43%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 01:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:12
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 05:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -5.31%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:48
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.37%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:12
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.29%E -2.90%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.37%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 08:54
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.94%E -3.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.07%E -0.382%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 05:45
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.94%E -3.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.94%E -3.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.94%E -3.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.37%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 07:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.94%E -3.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.37%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:45
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.58%E -3.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 04:20
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.58%E -3.83%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -4.25%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 04:20
betfred_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.07%E -0.382%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 04:51
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -2.13%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 04:19
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 04:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:20
picklebet_au🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 01:11
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.23%E -4.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 05:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 04:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.84%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 04:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.88%E -4.78%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.43%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 05:12
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.17%E -5.75%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 04:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -8.17%E -5.75%K -19.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.14%E -3.13%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 05:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.17%EV -13.35%E -9.96%K -39.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.83%EV -15.20%E -6.33%K -10.86%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-26 04:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-10-26 09:40
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-10-26 10:20
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-10-26 10:12
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-26 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%2.9%2026-10-26 08:25
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%8.2%2026-10-26 05:12