Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros v McNeese State Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 00:01 UTC

Final: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 27–10 McNeese State Cowboys

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local)

Prediction 63.47%1.58fair odd

EV -4.15%

Edge -2.75%

Kelly -8.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.08%63.81%63.41%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.491.501.5170.42%67.31%66.67%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McNeese State Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 36.53%2.74fair odd

EV +0.447%

Edge +0.162%

Kelly +0.255%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.37%36.19%36.59%36.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.582.632.602.7538.76%37.97%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Local): 63.47%; McNeese State Cowboys (Visit): 36.53%. For McNeese State Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.447%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.447%E +0.162%K +0.255%G +0.001%	5.8%	2026-09-19 23:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.87%E -6.95%K -23.49%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.38%E -0.511%K -0.812%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-19 23:44
Fliff🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 16:14
DraftKings🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.42%E -3.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.30%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 14:02
BetRivers🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 14:01
Bally Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 14:01
betPARX🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 14:02
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 16:34
FanDuel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.76%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 16:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.