Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers v North Carolina Central Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC

Final: Texas Southern Tigers 42–30 North Carolina Central Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers (Local)

Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -0.654%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.34%22.22%23.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.304.304.4024.39%23.25%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Central Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 77.78%1.29fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -14.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.78%77.66%77.78%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.231.221.2481.97%81.52%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Southern Tigers (Local): 22.22%; North Carolina Central Eagles (Visit): 77.78%. For Texas Southern Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:05
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:00
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:00
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.78%E -0.873%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.56%E -2.87%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 20:25
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.45%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:49
DraftKings🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:30
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.56%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.56%E -2.87%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.56%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.11%E -4.19%K -23.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 21:35
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.56%E -2.87%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.