Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks v East Texas A&M Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 00:01 UTC

Final: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 44–7 East Texas A&M Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local)

Prediction 92.06%1.09fair odd

EV -2.42%

Edge -2.28%

Kelly -40.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.42%92.10%92.06%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.041.041.0697.09%96.31%96.62%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Texas A&M Lions (Visit)

Prediction 7.94%12.59fair odd

EV +3.22%

Edge +0.248%

Kelly +0.268%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.34%7.90%7.94%9.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0011.8812.0013.0010.00%8.42%8.33%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local): 92.06%; East Texas A&M Lions (Visit): 7.94%. For East Texas A&M Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.18%E -5.03%K -172.61%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.22%E +0.248%K +0.268%G +0.009%	4.8%	2026-09-05 23:02
Fliff🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.18%E -5.03%K -172.61%G +0.000%	12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +2.43%E +0.188%K +0.204%G +0.005%	4.8%	2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.26%E -4.09%K -106.44%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.18%E -5.03%K -172.61%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.26%E -4.09%K -106.44%G +0.000%	11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -9.48%E -0.832%K -0.912%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.42%E -2.28%K -40.28%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -20.60%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-05 23:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.