Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:01 UTC

Final: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies 50–17 San Diego Toreros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local)

Prediction 62.05%1.61fair odd

EV -3.20%

Edge -2.05%

Kelly -5.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.90%61.88%62.05%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.531.531.5666.67%65.53%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 37.95%2.64fair odd

EV +0.563%

Edge +0.212%

Kelly +0.341%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.14%38.12%37.95%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.432.522.502.6541.15%39.68%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local): 62.05%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 37.95%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.563%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.563%E +0.212%K +0.341%G +0.002%	4.4%	2026-09-26 15:59
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.06%E -3.31%K -9.55%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.37%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-26 17:00
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.44%E -2.88%K -8.22%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-26 17:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.92%E -4.61%K -13.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-26 17:59
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.20%E -2.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.79%E -3.20%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-26 14:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.