Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks v West Florida Argonauts

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:01 UTC

Final: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 17–20 West Florida Argonauts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 62.22%1.61fair odd

EV -1.69%

Edge -1.07%

Kelly -2.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.00%62.49%62.22%65.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.521.531.5870.42%65.88%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Florida Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd

EV +2.00%

Edge +0.742%

Kelly +1.18%

Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.47%37.51%37.78%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.65%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Local): 62.22%; West Florida Argonauts (Visit): 37.78%. For West Florida Argonauts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -11.65%E -8.20%K -27.73%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +2.00%E +0.742%K +1.18%G +0.024%	7.5%	2026-09-26 22:15
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.04%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-26 22:15
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-26 22:15
Fliff🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-26 22:15
DraftKings🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -10.46%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-26 22:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.