Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials v Norfolk State Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:01 UTC

Final: Robert Morris Colonials 33–31 Norfolk State Spartans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials (Local)

Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd

EV -2.28%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.22%53.51%52.74%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.761.741.8358.48%56.89%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd

EV -2.14%

Edge -1.02%

Kelly -1.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.88%46.49%47.26%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.062.102.1050.00%48.47%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Robert Morris Colonials (Local): 53.40%; Norfolk State Spartans (Visit): 46.60%. For Norfolk State Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.28%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-03 17:39
FanDuel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.87%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-03 12:50
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-03 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-03 15:45
Fliff🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.57%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-03 16:55
betPARX🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-03 15:45
BetRivers🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-03 15:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-03 15:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.68%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-03 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.