Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland State Vikings v North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 02:01 UTC

Final: Portland State Vikings 23–47 North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland State Vikings (Local)

Prediction 6.47%15.45fair odd
EV +6.78%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 16.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.88%6.52%6.58%7.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.8014.7415.0016.507.81%6.78%6.67%6.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 93.53%1.07fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -122.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.62%93.48%93.42%94.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%98.04%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland State Vikings (Local): 6.47%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 93.53%. For Portland State Vikings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +6.78%E +0.411%K +0.438%G +0.030%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.12%EV -3.67%E -3.56%K -122.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 22:00
theScore Bet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +3.55%E +0.222%K +0.236%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.54%E -5.48%K -553.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.93%E -0.195%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.93%E -0.195%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.93%E -0.195%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.93%E -0.195%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯14.15I 7.07%NM 6.72%EV -8.43%E -0.595%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.28%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:05
FanDuel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.40%E -0.671%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.40%E -0.671%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯12.80I 7.81%NM 7.38%EV -17.16%E -1.34%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.62%EV -4.60%E -4.51%K -230.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.