Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Colorado Bears v South Dakota Coyotes

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 00:01 UTC

Final: Northern Colorado Bears 23–38 South Dakota Coyotes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Colorado Bears (Local)

Prediction 8.15%12.27fair odd
EV +9.99%
Edge +0.740%
Kelly +0.799%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 13.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.09%8.17%8.19%9.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.2012.1512.2513.509.80%8.23%8.16%7.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota Coyotes (Visit)

Prediction 91.85%1.09fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -71.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.67%91.83%91.81%92.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%96.25%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Colorado Bears (Local): 8.15%; South Dakota Coyotes (Visit): 91.85%. For Northern Colorado Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.27. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.99%E +0.740%K +0.799%G +0.080%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.39%E -5.23%K -179.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.99%E +0.740%K +0.799%G +0.080%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.39%E -5.23%K -179.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +9.99%E +0.740%K +0.799%G +0.080%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.39%E -5.23%K -179.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +5.91%E +0.455%K +0.493%G +0.029%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.39%E -5.23%K -179.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +1.84%E +0.147%K +0.160%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -3.55%E -3.39%K -71.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-05 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.23%E -0.186%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.47%E -4.30%K -111.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 01:24
Fliff🎯11.55I 8.66%NM 8.26%EV -5.90%E -0.511%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.74%EV -4.47%E -4.30%K -111.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:45
Caesars🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.38%E -0.944%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.47%E -4.30%K -111.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:02
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -12.01%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -3.55%E -3.39%K -71.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -16.90%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -3.55%E -3.39%K -71.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.