Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota Fighting Hawks v Murray State Racers

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:01 UTC

Final: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 55–28 Murray State Racers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local)

Prediction 96.84%1.03fair odd

EV -2.19%

Edge -2.17%

Kelly -218.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

96.84%96.84%96.84%96.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray State Racers (Visit)

Prediction 3.16%31.69fair odd

EV -2.19%

Edge -0.071%

Kelly -0.073%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.16%3.16%3.16%3.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

31.0031.0031.0031.003.23%3.23%3.23%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local): 96.84%; Murray State Racers (Visit): 3.16%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.01, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
betPARX🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-01 21:10
BetRivers🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-01 21:29
Bally Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-02 03:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-02 14:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.