Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Central Eagles v North Carolina A&T Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 22:01 UTC

Final: North Carolina Central Eagles 30–22 North Carolina A&T Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Central Eagles (Local)

Prediction 92.24%1.08fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -62.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.14%92.19%92.24%93.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%96.39%96.62%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina A&T Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 7.76%12.89fair odd
EV +8.59%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.85%7.81%7.76%8.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.8012.6513.0014.009.26%7.91%7.69%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Central Eagles (Local): 92.24%; North Carolina A&T Aggies (Visit): 7.76%. For North Carolina A&T Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.99%E -4.84%K -166.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +8.59%E +0.614%K +0.661%G +0.057%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.99%E -4.84%K -166.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +8.59%E +0.614%K +0.661%G +0.057%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.99%E -4.84%K -166.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +8.59%E +0.614%K +0.661%G +0.057%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.07%E -3.91%K -101.67%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +4.71%E +0.349%K +0.377%G +0.018%3.6%2026-09-12 15:19
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.99%E -4.84%K -166.30%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.04%E -0.244%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.07%E -3.91%K -101.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -11.58%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.14%E -2.99%K -62.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -14.68%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -3.14%E -2.99%K -62.88%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -16.23%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.