Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina A&T Aggies v Morgan State Bears

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 22:00 UTC

Final: North Carolina A&T Aggies 7–17 Morgan State Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local)

Prediction 30.50%3.28fair odd
EV -0.891%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.45%30.41%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.103.2533.33%32.02%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morgan State Bears (Visit)

Prediction 69.50%1.44fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -10.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%69.55%69.59%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.53%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local): 30.50%; Morgan State Bears (Visit): 69.50%. For North Carolina A&T Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.891%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.891%E -0.274%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.891%E -0.274%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 19:45
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.42%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:49
Caesars🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:23
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 21:35
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.78%E -3.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:35
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:50
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:30
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:30
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:35
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.