Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Alabama Lions v Alcorn State Braves

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:01 UTC

Final: North Alabama Lions 38–20 Alcorn State Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Alabama Lions (Local)

Prediction 79.16%1.26fair odd

EV -3.43%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -15.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.29%79.32%79.35%80.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.201.211.2287.72%83.18%82.64%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alcorn State Braves (Visit)

Prediction 20.84%4.80fair odd

EV +0.039%

Edge +0.008%

Kelly +0.010%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.19%20.68%20.65%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.564.554.8022.73%21.92%21.98%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Alabama Lions (Local): 79.16%; Alcorn State Braves (Visit): 20.84%. For Alcorn State Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.798. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.039%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.76%E -8.56%K -69.71%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +0.039%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-19 15:59
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.22%E -3.49%K -20.09%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -1.00%E -0.211%K -0.267%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-19 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.01%E -4.17%K -25.05%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.00%E -0.211%K -0.267%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 15:59
DraftKings🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -5.01%E -4.17%K -25.05%G +0.000%	4.61I 21.69%NM 20.65%EV -3.92%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 14:02
Fliff🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.01%E -4.17%K -25.05%G +0.000%	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.17%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 22:54
BetRivers🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.43%E -2.81%K -15.58%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 21:44
Bally Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.43%E -2.81%K -15.58%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 21:44
betPARX🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.43%E -2.81%K -15.58%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 21:44
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.22%E -3.49%K -20.09%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.