The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Montana Grizzlies v Northern Colorado Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC

Final: Montana Grizzlies 36–14 Northern Colorado Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 90.71%1.10fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -42.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.05%90.83%90.71%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0797.09%95.81%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Colorado Bears (Visit)

Prediction 9.29%10.76fair odd
EV +11.52%
Edge +0.960%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%9.17%9.29%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.0411.4312.0010.53%9.05%8.75%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 90.71%; Northern Colorado Bears (Visit): 9.29%. For Northern Colorado Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.66%E -5.45%K -141.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.52%E +0.960%K +1.05%G +0.121%4.5%2026-10-03 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.66%E -5.45%K -141.62%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +9.19%E +0.782%K +0.855%G +0.079%4.7%2026-10-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.66%E -5.45%K -141.62%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +9.19%E +0.782%K +0.855%G +0.079%4.7%2026-10-03 17:24
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.66%E -5.45%K -141.62%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +9.19%E +0.782%K +0.855%G +0.079%4.7%2026-10-03 17:25
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.43%EV -5.66%E -5.45%K -141.62%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.57%EV +3.15%E +0.284%K +0.312%G +0.010%5.2%2026-10-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -2.94%E -2.75%K -42.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -2.42%E -0.231%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-03 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -219.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.07%E -0.707%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.76%E -4.53%K -95.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.72%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.