Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana State Sycamores v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 22:00 UTC

Final: Indiana State Sycamores 21–23 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana State Sycamores (Local)

Prediction 56.39%1.77fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.81%56.53%56.31%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7160.61%59.14%59.17%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 43.61%2.29fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.20%43.47%43.69%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.192.162.2646.51%45.72%46.30%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana State Sycamores (Local): 56.39%; Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit): 43.61%. For Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.80%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.80%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 15:55
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.80%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 19:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:12
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.95%E -4.22%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -1.44%E -0.639%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.