The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Indiana State Sycamores v North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 17:01 UTC

Final: Indiana State Sycamores 35–42 North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana State Sycamores (Local)

Prediction 11.84%8.45fair odd
EV +0.642%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.086%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.37%12.01%11.76%13.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.868.008.5014.29%12.73%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 88.16%1.13fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -19.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.31%87.99%88.24%88.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1194.34%92.12%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana State Sycamores (Local): 11.84%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 88.16%. For Indiana State Sycamores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.642%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +0.642%E +0.075%K +0.086%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 15:50
FanDuel🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -4.09%E -0.505%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 15:05
DraftKings🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -4.09%E -0.505%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 21:55
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.28%E -0.660%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:15
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.28%E -0.660%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:20
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.28%E -0.660%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:15
Fliff🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.28%E -0.660%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -17.12%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.14%E -1.93%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 15:50
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -17.12%E -2.45%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.