Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas v Cornell Big Red

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:31 UTC

Final: Georgetown Hoyas 14–35 Cornell Big Red

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas (Local)

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.23%29.82%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.163.203.2033.56%31.66%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cornell Big Red (Visit)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.04%69.77%70.18%70.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.59%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 30.00%; Cornell Big Red (Visit): 70.00%. For Cornell Big Red (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.40, with an expected value of -1.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 15:05
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 15:05
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 15:05
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.49%E -4.07%K -15.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 15:30
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 15:29
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 15:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 16:19
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -10.61%E -3.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.