Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.40
assuming max odds 1.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Texas A&M Lions (Local): 24.00%; UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit): 76.00%. For East Texas A&M Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.59%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.28%E -5.96%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.48%E -2.74%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.24%E -3.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.00%E -4.00%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 21:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.