Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers v West Georgia Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:01 UTC

Final: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 35–27 West Georgia Wolves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 83.04%1.20fair odd

EV -3.67%

Edge -3.16%

Kelly -22.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.44%83.14%83.21%84.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.141.151.1690.09%87.72%87.34%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Georgia Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 16.96%5.90fair odd

EV +1.75%

Edge +0.291%

Kelly +0.349%

Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.85%16.86%16.79%17.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.405.725.726.0018.52%17.47%17.47%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Local): 83.04%; West Georgia Wolves (Visit): 16.96%. For West Georgia Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.90. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
betPARX🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.16%E -5.45%K -47.40%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.75%E +0.291%K +0.349%G +0.006%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.16%E -5.45%K -47.40%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.75%E +0.291%K +0.349%G +0.006%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:15
BetRivers🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.16%E -5.45%K -47.40%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.75%E +0.291%K +0.349%G +0.006%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:16
Fliff🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.33%E -4.68%K -38.08%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +0.051%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 15:44
BetMGM🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.67%E -3.16%K -22.94%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.49%E -0.434%K -0.525%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-19 15:38
ReBet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.50%E -3.91%K -30.01%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.34%E -0.586%K -0.711%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-19 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.91%K -30.01%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.73%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 15:39
DraftKings🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.91%K -30.01%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.73%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 14:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.82%E -7.05%K -71.12%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.73%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-19 15:39
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.50%E -3.91%K -30.01%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.43%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-19 15:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.