Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red v Yale University Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 17:01 UTC

Final: Cornell Big Red 38–25 Yale University Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red (Local)

Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.92%20.69%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.414.604.7526.32%22.67%21.74%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yale University Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 78.44%1.27fair odd
EV -0.377%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%78.08%79.31%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.211.2784.75%82.64%82.64%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cornell Big Red (Local): 21.56%; Yale University Bulldogs (Visit): 78.44%. For Cornell Big Red (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.08%E -4.20%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 16:29
BetRivers🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.44%E -6.30%K -41.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 14:50
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.44%E -6.30%K -41.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 14:50
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.44%E -6.30%K -41.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 14:49
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.838%E -0.182%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.87%E -4.89%K -29.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 15:20
Fliff🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.08%E -4.20%K -24.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.95%E -1.56%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 16:59
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -5.08%E -4.20%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 16:59
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -18.08%E -4.76%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -0.377%E -0.297%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.