Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders v Cornell Big Red

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:01 UTC

Final: Colgate Raiders 20–7 Cornell Big Red

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders (Local)

Prediction 80.43%1.24fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -12.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.81%80.34%80.40%81.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.181.2188.50%84.59%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cornell Big Red (Visit)

Prediction 19.57%5.11fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.43%19.66%19.60%21.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.875.005.0022.22%20.55%20.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colgate Raiders (Local): 80.43%; Cornell Big Red (Visit): 19.57%. For Cornell Big Red (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -2.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.67%E -2.21%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.96%E -2.66%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.48%E -2.90%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.09%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:48
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.48%E -2.90%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -9.02%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.09%E -4.31%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.17%E -0.435%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 15:44
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.09%E -4.31%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.17%E -0.435%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.09%E -4.31%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.17%E -0.435%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.09%E -4.31%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.17%E -0.435%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -5.09%E -4.31%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -5.31%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:02
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.11%E -8.06%K -70.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.17%E -0.435%K -0.544%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.