Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alcorn State Braves v Texas Southern Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 20:01 UTC

Final: Alcorn State Braves 43–40 Texas Southern Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alcorn State Braves (Local)

Prediction 60.53%1.65fair odd

EV -3.15%

Edge -1.97%

Kelly -5.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.80%60.86%60.53%62.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.571.571.6065.79%63.75%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Southern Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd

EV +0.243%

Edge +0.096%

Kelly +0.158%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.44%39.14%39.47%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.372.422.392.5442.19%41.34%41.84%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alcorn State Braves (Local): 60.53%; Texas Southern Tigers (Visit): 39.47%. For Texas Southern Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.243%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.36%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +0.243%E +0.096%K +0.158%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-26 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.34%E -0.534%K -0.891%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-26 19:20
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-26 18:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-26 19:19
BetRivers🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 17:55
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 17:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 17:55
DraftKings🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-26 15:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.