The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alcorn State Braves v Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:01 UTC

Final: Alcorn State Braves 53–51 Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alcorn State Braves (Local)

Prediction 74.01%1.35fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%74.31%73.76%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.281.3180.65%78.55%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit)

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +0.989%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.69%26.24%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.763.704.0027.78%26.59%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alcorn State Braves (Local): 74.01%; Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit): 25.99%. For Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.96%E +0.989%K +1.32%G +0.052%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.96%E +0.989%K +1.32%G +0.052%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.49%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.96%E +0.989%K +1.32%G +0.052%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.678%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.05%E -2.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.23%E -6.63%K -34.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 20:49
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.18%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.