Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys v Northern Colorado Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:00 UTC

Final: Wyoming Cowboys 21–13 Northern Colorado Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wyoming Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 92.10%1.09fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -39.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.66%92.18%92.10%94.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0699.01%97.05%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Colorado Bears (Visit)

Prediction 7.90%12.66fair odd
EV +26.39%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.464%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.99%7.82%7.90%9.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.5112.3016.0010.00%8.00%8.13%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wyoming Cowboys (Local): 92.10%; Northern Colorado Bears (Visit): 7.90%. For Northern Colorado Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.66. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.06%E -5.94%K -302.88%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +26.39%E +1.65%K +1.76%G +0.464%4.3%2026-09-12 17:20
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.06%E -5.94%K -302.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%5.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.06%E -5.94%K -302.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%5.2%2026-09-12 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.06%E -5.94%K -302.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%5.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.06%E -5.94%K -302.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%5.2%2026-09-12 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -697.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%6.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -697.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%6.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -697.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%6.2%2026-09-12 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -697.86%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.60%E +0.757%K +0.815%G +0.086%6.2%2026-09-12 17:14
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.29%E -3.14%K -65.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.70%E +0.207%K +0.225%G +0.006%2.9%2026-09-12 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.29%E -3.14%K -65.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +2.70%E +0.207%K +0.225%G +0.006%2.9%2026-09-12 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.70%E +0.207%K +0.225%G +0.006%4.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +2.70%E +0.207%K +0.225%G +0.006%4.8%2026-09-12 17:05
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.27%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.73%EV -2.83%E -0.230%K -0.251%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:10
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.20%E -0.434%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.15%E -0.796%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.15%E -0.796%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:20
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.15%E -0.796%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:20
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.50%EV -3.29%E -3.14%K -65.89%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.50%EV -10.73%E -0.950%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -11.13%E -0.989%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.37%E -2.24%K -39.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -13.10%E -1.19%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.29%E -3.14%K -65.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.10%E -1.19%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.22%E -4.05%K -105.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.10%E -1.19%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:51
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.10%E -1.19%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.75%EV -3.29%E -3.14%K -65.89%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.25%EV -18.63%E -1.81%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -21.00%E -2.10%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-09-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 19:15
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-12 14:20