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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Virginia Cavaliers v West Virginia Mountaineers

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 23:35 UTC

最终结果： West Virginia Mountaineers 38–27 Virginia Cavaliers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Virginia Cavaliers (主队)

预测 77.11%1.30公平赔率
EV -2.07%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -7.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布
74.75%77.01%77.21%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.231.241.2785.47%81.17%80.65%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

West Virginia Mountaineers (客队)

预测 22.89%4.37公平赔率
EV +5.29%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.63%22.99%22.79%25.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.164.104.6027.03%24.07%24.39%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Virginia Cavaliers (主队)：77.11%；West Virginia Mountaineers (客队)：22.89%。 对于“West Virginia Mountaineers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.37。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+5.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.29%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%4.4%2026-09-19 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.29%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%5.1%2026-09-19 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.00%E +0.667%K +0.857%G +0.026%4.9%2026-09-19 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.00%E +0.667%K +0.857%G +0.026%4.9%2026-09-19 22:53
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.78%E -8.36%K -57.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.00%E +0.667%K +0.857%G +0.026%7.7%2026-09-19 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.27%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.73%EV +1.40%E +0.316%K +0.408%G +0.006%3.9%2026-09-19 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.92%E -4.86%K -26.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.712%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%4.7%2026-09-19 22:54
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.92%E -4.86%K -26.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.433%E -0.100%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -0.891%E -0.206%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.58%E -0.367%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.58%E -0.367%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 22:10
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.58%E -0.367%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 21:54
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.58%E -0.367%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 22:37
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.640%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.640%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 11:00
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:28
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 21:54
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-17 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.92%E -4.86%K -26.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.92%E -4.86%K -26.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.01%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 12:40
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 08:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.07%E -1.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.78%EV -4.38%E -3.53%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.22%EV -11.19%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 23:14
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.84%E -2.25%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 23:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.17%E -3.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.31%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 23:19
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.31%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 23:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-09-19 22:45
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-19 21:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-19 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-19 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-19 23:24
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-19 23:29