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UTSA Roadrunners v Colorado State Rams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UTSA Roadrunners (Local)
Prediction 83.23%1.20fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -9.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.20%83.36%83.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1889.29%87.09%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colorado State Rams (Visit)
Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV +0.642%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.128%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.08%16.80%16.64%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.505.506.0020.00%18.17%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 83.23%; Colorado State Rams (Visit): 16.77%. For Colorado State Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.642%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.642%E +0.107%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -1.04%E -0.175%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.95%E -5.27%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -3.38%E -0.587%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -3.38%E -0.587%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 14:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.55%E -0.618%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.55%E -0.618%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.95%E -5.27%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.55%E -0.618%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.46%E -2.98%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.39%E -0.770%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.46%E -2.98%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -4.39%E -0.770%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -6.07%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.07%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.07%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.79%E -6.06%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.74%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -8.58%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.52%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.48%EV -9.76%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -11.10%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.95%E -5.27%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -11.10%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.46%E -2.98%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -11.94%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.29%E -3.73%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -11.94%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -12.78%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.79%E -1.52%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -14.45%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.79%E -1.52%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -14.45%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.79%E -1.52%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -14.45%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.63%E -2.24%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.63%E -2.24%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.46%E -2.98%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.12%E -4.49%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.13%E -3.23%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 15:15 |