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Sacramento State Hornets v North Dakota State Bison
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sacramento State Hornets (Local)
Prediction 6.12%16.34fair odd
EV +16.31%
Edge +0.858%
Kelly +0.906%
Growth +0.148%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.09%6.29%6.05%7.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.6914.7819.008.33%6.81%6.77%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Dakota State Bison (Visit)
Prediction 93.88%1.07fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -59.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.10%93.71%93.95%94.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.94%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento State Hornets (Local): 6.12%; North Dakota State Bison (Visit): 93.88%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +16.31%E +0.858%K +0.906%G +0.148% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%EV +13.25%E +0.716%K +0.757%G +0.100% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 17.12I 5.84%NM 5.67%EV +4.80%E +0.281%K +0.298%G +0.014% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.33%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +4.07%E +0.239%K +0.254%G +0.010% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +4.07%E +0.239%K +0.254%G +0.010% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -518.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +4.07%E +0.239%K +0.254%G +0.010% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -518.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -2.05%E -0.128%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.05%E -0.128%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -518.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 15.70I 6.37%NM 6.10%EV -3.89%E -0.248%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.90%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 15.70I 6.37%NM 6.10%EV -3.89%E -0.248%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.90%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 15.70I 6.37%NM 6.10%EV -3.89%E -0.248%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.90%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV -8.18%E -0.545%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -2.37%E -2.28%K -59.16%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -8.18%E -0.545%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -8.18%E -0.545%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 19:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 14.55I 6.87%NM 6.55%EV -10.93%E -0.751%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.45%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 00:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -11.24%E -0.775%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -11.24%E -0.775%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.12%E -6.12%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -20.42%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -20.42%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -20.42%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -20.42%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 05:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -20.42%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -23.48%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -23.48%E -1.88%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.54%E -2.21%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.31%E -3.21%K -110.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -26.54%E -2.21%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.54%E -2.21%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -518.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 02:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.54%E -2.21%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -518.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 01:49 |