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Sacramento State Hornets v Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

2026-09-06 02:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento State Hornets (Local)

Prediction 97.87%1.02fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -114.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.59%97.87%97.87%97.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (Visit)

Prediction 2.13%47.00fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 46.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.13%2.13%2.13%8.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0021.8815.2546.009.09%4.57%6.56%2.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sacramento State Hornets (Local): 97.87%; Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (Visit): 2.13%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.01, with an expected value of -1.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.15%E -1.14%K -114.89%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -69.68%E -4.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -1.15%E -1.14%K -114.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -76.60%E -6.96%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.13%E -2.13%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV -2.13%E -0.046%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.20%EV -2.13%E -2.13%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.80%EV -65.43%E -4.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.