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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Miami Hurricanes

2026-11-08 00:30 UTC — NCAAF

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Predicción 71.12%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%71.09%70.97%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.80%74.63%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visitante)

Predicción 28.88%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -0.630%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%28.91%29.03%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.4133.33%30.55%30.30%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 71.12%; Miami Hurricanes (Visitante): 28.88%. Para Miami Hurricanes (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.46. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.41, con un valor esperado de -1.52%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.57%E -1.87%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-05 13:30
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.81%E -0.532%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-05 13:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 13:19
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 12:35
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-05 14:00
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 13:23
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-05 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-05 12:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 13:45
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-05 13:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-05 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.445%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.445%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.81%E -0.532%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 00:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.81%E -0.532%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-05 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 00:45
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 01:40
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 00:50
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-05 01:14
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 13:05
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-05 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.81%E -0.532%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-05 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.25%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-05 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -9.32%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 13:59
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 00:55
picklebet_au🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-05 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -6.83%E -5.22%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -4.12%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-05 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-05 13:50
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-05 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-05 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-11-05 14:05
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35%0.5%2026-11-05 01:29
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-05 10:30
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-11-05 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-11-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-11-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-11-05 14:10
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-11-05 14:15
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%3.9%2026-11-05 13:20