The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

North Carolina Tar Heels v East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:03 UTC

Final: North Carolina Tar Heels 35–3 East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 97.98%1.02fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -103.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%97.98%98.08%98.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.67%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 2.02%49.52fair odd
EV +35.30%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.189%

assuming max odds 67.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.47%2.02%1.92%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0045.4751.0067.008.33%2.20%1.96%1.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 97.98%; East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Visit): 2.02%. For East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 49.52. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 67.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.51%EV -1.04%E -1.03%K -103.97%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.49%EV +35.30%E +0.527%K +0.535%G +0.189%0.5%2026-09-12 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.51%EV -1.04%E -1.03%K -103.97%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.49%EV +35.30%E +0.527%K +0.535%G +0.189%0.5%2026-09-12 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +35.30%E +0.527%K +0.535%G +0.189%1.5%2026-09-12 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +13.09%E +0.234%K +0.238%G +0.031%1.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +2.99%E +0.059%K +0.060%G +0.002%2.0%2026-09-06 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV -17.20%E -0.420%K -0.430%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 05:10
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -31.34%E -0.922%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.04%E -1.03%K -103.97%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -71.22%E -5.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -2.02%E -2.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -75.77%E -6.31%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 03:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.81%528.50I 0.19%NM 0.19%0.2%2026-09-12 15:55
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.80%83.50I 1.20%NM 1.20%0.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 51.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 48.33%91.6%2026-09-12 15:55