默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mississippi State Bulldogs v Auburn Tigers

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mississippi State Bulldogs (主队)

预测 43.07%2.32公平赔率

EV -3.09%

优势 -1.37%

Kelly -2.47%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布

42.41%43.10%43.08%43.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.182.202.2548.78%45.78%45.45%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Auburn Tigers (客队)

预测 56.93%1.76公平赔率

EV -2.65%

优势 -1.55%

Kelly -3.73%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

56.27%56.90%56.92%57.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.581.651.651.7163.29%60.44%60.42%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Mississippi State Bulldogs (主队)：43.07%；Auburn Tigers (客队)：56.93%。对于“Auburn Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.76。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.71，期望值为-2.65%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 15:19
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 14:24
DraftKings🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.52%E -1.57%K -2.84%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 15:20
Coolbet🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 16:10
Bet Right🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 16:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 16:55
FanDuel🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-08 14:35
PlayUp🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-08 14:25
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-08 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 14:25
ReBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.54%E -3.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-08 14:25
SportsBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.64%E -4.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-08 14:24
betfred_uk🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-08 14:29
LeoVegas🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-08 14:24
Paddy Power🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-11-08 14:23
picklebet_au🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.70%E -5.71%K -11.15%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -10.05%E -6.36%K -17.33%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-11-08 14:24

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%	2.8%	2026-11-08 16:55
Novig◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	5.3%	2026-11-08 17:00
Polymarket◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%	7.9%	2026-11-08 16:54
ProphetX◎	2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%	10.0%	2026-11-08 16:55

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