默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan State Spartans v Washington Huskies

2026-11-14 21:15 UTC — NCAAF

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan State Spartans (主队)

预测 42.23%2.37公平赔率

EV -2.87%

优势 -1.25%

Kelly -2.21%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.77%42.22%42.31%42.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.232.252.3047.62%44.83%44.44%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Huskies (客队)

预测 57.77%1.73公平赔率

EV -3.52%

优势 -2.11%

Kelly -5.26%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

57.22%57.78%57.69%58.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.37%60.98%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Michigan State Spartans (主队)：42.23%；Washington Huskies (客队)：57.77%。对于“Michigan State Spartans (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.37。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.30，期望值为-2.87%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:50
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 15:34
Bet Right🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.56%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.26%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 15:40
FanDuel🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 14:50
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 14:55
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 14:54
Coolbet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.68%E -2.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.26%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 15:35
ReBet🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.99%E -4.34%K -11.46%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-08 15:34
SportsBet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.67%E -3.02%K -5.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.41%E -3.96%K -10.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-08 14:45
betfred_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.73%K -12.61%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-08 15:40
LeoVegas🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -7.94%E -3.64%K -6.73%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.04%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-08 15:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-11-08 14:50
picklebet_au🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.01%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-11-08 15:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-11-08 16:45
Novig◎	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%	5.8%	2026-11-08 16:40
Polymarket◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%	9.1%	2026-11-08 17:00
ProphetX◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 61.83%	1.62I 61.73%NM 38.17%	61.7%	2026-11-08 16:05

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