默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liberty Flames v Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Liberty Flames 24–23 Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liberty Flames (主队)

预测 94.11%1.06公平赔率
EV -4.01%
优势 -3.93%
Kelly -200.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.02

博彩公司预测分布
91.59%94.13%94.14%95.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.58%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (客队)

预测 5.89%16.98公平赔率
EV +35.43%
优势 +1.54%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.571%

假设最高赔率为 23.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.25%5.87%5.86%8.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0016.3215.5023.009.09%6.13%6.45%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Liberty Flames (主队):94.11%;Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (客队):5.89%。 对于“Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为16.98。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为23.00,对应+35.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +35.43%E +1.54%K +1.61%G +0.571%2.4%2026-09-12 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +23.66%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.280%3.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +23.66%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.280%3.8%2026-09-12 15:40
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +23.66%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.280%3.8%2026-09-12 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +11.88%E +0.625%K +0.660%G +0.078%3.3%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +5.99%E +0.333%K +0.352%G +0.021%3.6%2026-09-12 14:50
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.103%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:05
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -2.84%E -0.172%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -5.79%E -0.362%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.67%E -0.778%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -16.09%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.01%E -3.93%K -200.31%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -17.56%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.56%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.56%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.56%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -23.45%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.34%E -2.44%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:51
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.95%E -4.90%K -494.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -35.23%E -3.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%0.2%2026-09-12 15:00
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-09-12 14:35
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%2.2%2026-09-12 15:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-12 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-12 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%7.1%2026-09-12 15:55