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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Iowa State Cyclones v Cincinnati Bearcats

2026-11-14 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Iowa State Cyclones (主队)

预测 50.79%1.97公平赔率
EV -3.00%
优势 -1.57%
Kelly -3.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.12%50.85%53.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.831.831.9156.18%54.70%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Bearcats (客队)

预测 49.21%2.03公平赔率
EV -0.588%
优势 -0.291%
Kelly -0.576%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
46.84%48.88%49.15%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.941.932.0255.56%51.43%51.81%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Iowa State Cyclones (主队)：50.79%；Cincinnati Bearcats (客队)：49.21%。 对于“Cincinnati Bearcats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.02，期望值为-0.588%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.01%E -2.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.52%E -2.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.52%E -2.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.03%E -2.69%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 16:45
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.99%E -3.70%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 13:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-08 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.99%E -3.70%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.57%E -0.786%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.94%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 16:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-08 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -9.09%E -5.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 14:30
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.588%E -0.291%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 14:29
picklebet_au🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -9.60%E -5.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.72%EV -11.41%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-08 13:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-11-08 16:35
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%6.1%2026-11-08 16:49
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%13.1%2026-11-08 17:00
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 51.02%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.98%16.7%2026-11-08 16:35

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