Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado State Rams v Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:05 UTC

Final: Colorado State Rams 58–24 Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado State Rams (Local)

Prediction 89.81%1.11fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -55.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%89.68%89.96%91.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.75%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 10.19%9.81fair odd
EV +12.11%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.147%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.56%10.32%10.04%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.629.5011.0014.29%10.39%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado State Rams (Local): 89.81%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 10.19%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.81. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -114.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%4.3%2026-09-12 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-12 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-12 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-08 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-08 18:29
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-08 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%5.2%2026-09-08 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.50%E -7.28%K -249.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%6.2%2026-09-08 18:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.50%E -7.28%K -249.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.11%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.147%6.2%2026-09-08 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.92%E +0.192%K +0.213%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-12 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.92%E +0.192%K +0.213%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-12 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +0.900%E +0.091%K +0.101%G +0.001%4.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.32%EV -6.60%E -6.35%K -164.99%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.68%EV -1.14%E -0.117%K -0.131%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.18%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.18%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -4.20%E -0.446%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:40
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -5.72%E -0.619%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -5.72%E -0.619%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.27%E -0.919%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.27%E -0.919%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:45
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.27%E -0.919%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -10.31%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 22:00
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.82%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:18
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.37%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -80.06%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -13.67%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 21:35
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.68%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.32%EV -14.59%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:45
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.66%E -4.09%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.91%E -3.65%K -55.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.66%E -4.09%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-12 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-09-12 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-09-12 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.07%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.93%2.8%2026-09-12 22:40