Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.76
assuming max odds 1.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Buffaloes (Local): 18.09%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 81.91%. For Colorado Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.53. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +4.20%E +0.729%K +0.882%G +0.037% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +4.20%E +0.729%K +0.882%G +0.037% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +4.02%E +0.699%K +0.846%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +4.02%E +0.699%K +0.846%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.11%E +0.546%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 23:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.30%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.30%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.30%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.30%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.505%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 23:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.505%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.505%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.31%E -0.429%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.31%E -0.429%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.31%E -0.429%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.12%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.12%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.12%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.12%E -0.778%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.24%EV -4.30%E -0.814%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.04%EV -4.67%E -0.885%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.96%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.03%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.03%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.03%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.03%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.93%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.62%E -5.81%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -6.84%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.74%E -1.52%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.62%E -5.81%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.55%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.62%E -5.81%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -10.45%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.36%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.17%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.98%E -4.30%K -31.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.17%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.17%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.80%E -5.05%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 23:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -14.07%E -2.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.56%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.79%E -3.65%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.35%E -2.84%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 23:29 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 1.8% | 2026-10-03 23:10 |