Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears v Colorado Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:05 UTC

Final: Baylor Bears 23–13 Colorado Buffaloes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prediction 74.01%1.35fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -9.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.00%74.04%76.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3181.30%77.83%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.864%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%26.00%25.96%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.653.9830.30%27.43%27.40%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 74.01%; Colorado Buffaloes (Visit): 25.99%. For Colorado Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -8.97%E -7.29%K -38.99%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.61%EV +3.44%E +0.864%K +1.15%G +0.040%6.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.95%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.320%E +0.083%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-26 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.24%E -0.326%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.24%E -0.326%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.24%E -0.326%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 15:54
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.24%E -0.326%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 15:03
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:55
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 15:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 15:30
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.54%E -0.677%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.05%E -2.33%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-26 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 15:55
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 15:59
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 15:59
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 15:35
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -6.18%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.05%E -2.33%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 15:50
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.05%E -2.33%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 14:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 14:40
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.05%E -2.33%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.01%E -4.73%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 15:55
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:34
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.53%E -3.51%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 16:00
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.27%E -4.11%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 15:52
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.79%E -2.91%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.23%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 15:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81%3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19%-0.2%2026-09-26 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-26 16:00
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-26 16:00
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.44%1.0%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-26 16:00
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-26 15:55
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-26 16:00