Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Army Black Knights v Tulane Green Wave

2026-10-10 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Army Black Knights (Local)

Predicción 59.86%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.02%60.07%59.85%63.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.601.6566.67%63.16%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visitante)

Predicción 40.14%2.49momio equitativo
EV +4.36%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.72%
Crecimiento +0.119%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.89%39.93%40.15%41.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.352.6044.84%42.14%42.55%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Army Black Knights (Local): 59.86%; Tulane Green Wave (Visitante): 40.14%. Para Tulane Green Wave (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.49. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.36%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -9.01%E -5.93%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +4.36%E +1.68%K +2.72%G +0.119%4.3%2026-10-04 17:20
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.060%E -0.024%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -7.81%E -5.07%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -0.060%E -0.024%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:23
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.82%E -3.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.67%E -0.680%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -9.01%E -5.93%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.67%E -0.680%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 19:19
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -9.01%E -5.93%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -2.47%E -1.02%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.42%E -3.43%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.61%E -4.24%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.21%E -6.80%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 19:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.42%E -3.43%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 19:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.41%E -5.50%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.61%E -4.24%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.28%E -2.24%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.02%E -1.87%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 19:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.02%E -1.87%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 18:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.68%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.42%E -1.49%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.08%E -2.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 19:35
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.48%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.48%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.21%E -4.65%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.69%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 19:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.21%E -4.65%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.69%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 19:23
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.23%E -0.743%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.49%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.22%E -2.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.49%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -3.62%E -2.25%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -10.50%E -4.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-10-04 19:20
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%4.5%2026-10-04 19:45
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%12.0%2026-10-04 19:50
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.94%FanDuel 1.65 (61.2%) / DraftKings 2.60 (38.8%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
Army Black Knights (Local)Tulane Green Wave (Visitante)Margen
FanDuel🎯 1.65 (61.2%)DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.8%)+0.941%
Pinnacle🎯 1.63 (61.5%)DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.5%)+0.189%